Friday, April 6, 2012
The above screenshot is next week's Ninki poll. According to the Japanese Oricon readers that were polled, the top 5 artists for next week are Sexy Zone, Perfume, 2AM, Morning Musume, and ASIAN KUNG-FU GENERATION.
Sexy Zone will take #1. Their last single (which was also their debut - you might remember that Mobekimasu faced off against them) sold 173,000 copies.
Perfume will be in the running for #1, but unless Perfume has a sudden upward surge in sales (or Sexy Zone's single sells way lower than expected), they will take #2. Their last few singles sold around 80,000-94,000 copies in their first week.
And so that leaves the battle for 3rd. Despite what the Ninki poll says, it's Morning Musume's spot to lose. 2AM's Japanese debut single sold 26,000 copies and they'd have to double that in order to compete with Morning Musume. ASIAN KUNG-FU GENERATION usually sells less than that (20,000 or so). And the person ranked 6th in the Ninki poll is a seiyuu (K-ON! fans will recognize her) that poses an even less threat than ASIAN KUNG-FU GENERATION.
Although the numbers to the left of the artist's name do not represent predicted sales in any way, this time around they should be pretty close - at least for the top 5.
My guess is that the week ends up like this:
1. Sexy Zone (195,000)
2. Perfume (97,000)
3. Morning Musume (45,000)
4. 2AM (30,000)
5. ASIAN KUNG-FU GENERATION (16,000)
If you want to ensure Morning Musume gets that #3 spot, you can buy this single!